An upset is a surprise. The loss of Anthony Weiner's former seat to the Republicans was not a surprise. It was the latest in a long string of referendums on the president's leadership. That string started in 2009 when the New Jersey and Virginia governorships went Republican, and continued in 2010 with the loss of Ted Kennedy's former Senate seat. Then there was last November.At first these elections looked like, and could be experienced by the White House as, an attempt at a corrective: Change your ways or you'll lose us. By November 2010 they were a warning: You're...
Source: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/2011/09/16/ny-9_it_wasn039t_really_an_upset_263628.html
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